Will the homicide rate in 2022 remain above 6 per 100,000 people?
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200Ṁ2172resolved Dec 2
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US homicides increased in 2020 to 6/100,000 for the first time in over 20 years. It seems like 2021 is on track to meet or exceed that number. Many have cited COVID-19 and the George Floyd protests as possible reasons for the increase in homicides; as these causes recede in 2022, will the homicides decrease with them?
The source will be FBI homicide data for the country, which seems to be released on roughly a 1 year lag. Expect this market to resolve fully around September 2023.
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Homicide rate in 2023: 6.3 per 100k people
https://cde.ucr.cjis.gov/LATEST/webapp/#/pages/explorer/crime/crime-trend (FBI source)
https://www.statista.com/chart/31062/us-homicide-rate/#:~:text=A%20new%20report%20from%20the,fall%20of%20around%206%20percent.
So this resolves YES.
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