Will El Salvador's murder rate be below 10 per 100,000 inhabitants in 2030?
5
110Ṁ812030
42%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
The prediction market will resolve as "Yes" if, by December 31, 2030, El Salvador's annual murder rate is below 10 per 100,000 inhabitants, based on reliable international sources such as the United Nations Office on Drugs and Crime (UNODC), the World Bank, or other internationally recognized organizations that compile and report on global homicide statistics.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
1,000Related questions
Related questions
Will Argentina's poverty level drop below 15% by 2030?
48% chance
Will any of the following Western countries experience a national homicide rate above 10 per 100,000 per year before 2030?
40% chance
What will the homicide rate be in Mexico for 2024?
Will Nayib Bukele be the leader of El Salvador in 2030?
38% chance
El Salvador will be doing really well at the start of 2026
41% chance
Will Nayib Bukele be the leader of El Salvador at the end of 2025?
86% chance
Will homicides return to pre-BLM levels by 2030?
56% chance
Will I be murdered before 2030?
4% chance
Will more than ten "national level" politicians in any single western country be killed within twelve months of each other before 2030?
15% chance
Will there be fewer than 500 000 malaria deaths worldwide in 2025?
18% chance