
Will El Salvador's murder rate be below 10 per 100,000 inhabitants in 2030?
6
110Ṁ1312030
64%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
The prediction market will resolve as "Yes" if, by December 31, 2030, El Salvador's annual murder rate is below 10 per 100,000 inhabitants, based on reliable international sources such as the United Nations Office on Drugs and Crime (UNODC), the World Bank, or other internationally recognized organizations that compile and report on global homicide statistics.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get
1,000 to start trading!
People are also trading
Related questions
Will homicides return to pre-BLM levels by 2030?
60% chance
What will the homicide rate be in Mexico for 2024?
Will any of the following Western countries experience a national homicide rate above 10 per 100,000 per year before 2030?
40% chance
Will Nayib Bukele be the leader of El Salvador in 2030?
67% chance
Will I be murdered before 2030?
3% chance
Will more than ten "national level" politicians in any single western country be killed within twelve months of each other before 2030?
15% chance
Will Argentina's poverty level drop below 15% by 2030?
38% chance
Will the world population decrease before 2030?
12% chance
Will the annual death rate at age 100 in the US drop below 1% before 2050?
47% chance
Will the next El Salvador presidential election be free and fair?
34% chance