Will the CDU be part of the governing coalition after the Feb election in Berlin?
Germany
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330
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resolved Apr 23
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YES

At the recent repeated election (12th Feb 23) in Berlin the Conservative Party CDU got the most votes (~28%), followed by the social democrats (SPD, ~18%). There is a majority for the current left-ish coalition (SPD, greens, left party Die Linke), but other coalitions are possible at this time (e.g. CDU and SPD)

You can find the results here: https://www.japantimes.co.jp/news/2023/02/13/world/scholz-worst-berlin-election-result/

This market resolves as soon as the first coalition is formally approved.

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bought Ṁ200 of YES

CDU and SPD agree: https://www.tagesspiegel.de/berlin/kurze-letzte-sitzung-berliner-cdu-und-spd-einigen-sich-auf-koalitionsvertrag-9603506.html

bought Ṁ50 of YES

https://www.spiegel.de/politik/deutschland/berliner-spd-giffey-tendiert-offenbar-zu-koalition-mit-cdu-a-124a2797-2c89-40aa-8d4b-ae2fa1ac1933

bought Ṁ30 of YES

It would surprise me if the party with the most votes is not part of the governing coalition. Furthermore, Berlin wants a change.

(I don’t believe the CDU is able to deliver that but that is another story)

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