Resolves Yes if the next person elected "Regierender Bürgermeister von Berlin" (Governing Mayor) by the "Berliner Abgeordnetehaus" is Franziska Giffey.
Resolves No if any other person is elected Mayor instead.
The repeat election will be held on February 12 2023.
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They have decided upon her successor.
"CDU-Landeschef Kai Wegner soll nach dem Sieg seiner Partei bei der Wiederholungswahl am 12. Februar Regierender Bürgermeister werden." https://www.zeit.de/news/2023-04/02/koalitionsvertrag-von-cdu-und-spd-in-berlin-fertig
@kottsiek Funnily enough, there have been a few votes missing which are being counted now. As the Greens are only 105 (IIRC) votes behind the SPD, things might still flip, although apparently the district where they were found is leaning towards SPD (atm the gained 10 votes): https://www.spiegel.de/politik/live-ticker-zur-berlinwahl-wiederholung-berlin-versucht-bis-466-zu-zaehlen-a-a32ab17f-80af-49f3-9ac6-1137ce461769#:~:text=Macht%20insgesamt%2063,eine%20%C3%9Cberraschung%20gut!
But there is also some reports of ripple effects of other recount possibilities that might re-allocate "compensation mandates" and that might have some effect? Really not sure what that means for the probability rn😅
@BjornJurgens If there is a second repeat election after the first one, those results will count towards this market (If Giffey wins the second repeat election, this resolves Yes). If the repeat election is cancelled alltogether and never repeated, this resolves N/A, but I don't see that happening.
@kottsiek I should clarify: If another person is temporarily elected mayor before Giffey, this always resolves NO as stated in the resolution criteria.