What do you mean by this? Israel is already at war with at least one state in the Middle East.

@ibuprofen Gaza isn’t a nation state. It’s arguable that Israel is at war with Lebanon (as opposed to Hezbollah).

@SaadiaCarbis I never referred to Gaza. I was referring to Lebanon.

@ibuprofen For the purpose of this market hezbollah will not count as Lebanon

@JamesF Yes, but the country of Lebanon is still technically at war with Israel.

@ibuprofen I know Hezbollah is a political party in Lebanon, and that Israel has exchanged fire over the Lebanon border, but until they go to war with the actual government of Lebanon it won’t count

@JamesF No. Lebanon and Israel never signed a declaration of peace. They've been in a state of ceasefire since 2006 but they're still technically at war. Lebanon considers Israel an enemy state and won't let any Israeli citizen enter the country, let alone even transit through its airport.

@ibuprofen As far as I can tell the only continued fighting after the ceasefire was from hezbollah and that the state of Lebanon and Israel have respected the ceasefire. Given how long the ceasefire has lasted I will only count it as war if it is broken

@JamesF What metrics are you using to judge obeying the ceasefire? Israel has clocked over 2000 airspace violations in the state of Lebanon since the ceasefire (against the terms). There continue to be troops past the blue line (against the terms.) Israel continues to hold land they were supposed to return (Ghajar.) In the early to mid 2010s there were a series of border skirmishes between the Lebanese Army and the IDF. etc

@ibuprofen If the ceasefire is considered over by both Israel and Lebanon it will resolve

@JamesF Sounds good.