What conspiracy theories will be proven true by 2100? (Mega Market)
89
2.1K
16K
2100
86%
That motherfucker WAS real (Tiffany Gomas was wrong the whole time)
77%
Groundhog Day is rigged
71%
Santa is rigged
58%
China made covid 19 in a lab
49%
Bielefeld does not exist, but another city with the same name in the same place does
42%
Smart devices are almost always listening to your private conversations
39%
That stock trading AI supposedly built by @SteveSokolowski is actually part of an elaborate scam
36%
Christiano Ronaldo never played for a Real football (soccer) team
36%
Tiffany Gomas is not the same person as the TMINR lady in the video. She is a PSYOP for Barstool.
32%
The U.S. military is the number one customer of Glitterex (a glitter company) but doesn't want anyone to know because it hurts their masculine image.
32%
Non-human intelligence affecting events on Earth is not extraterrestrial "aliens," and humans are incorrect in believing that reality consists only of the Universe.
32%
China was not genociding Uyghurs
31%
Michael Jordan's first NBA retirement was actually a forced suspension.
29%
Charles Manson had a rib removed in the late 1990s
28%
Atrazine works as an endocrine-disrupting chemical (EDC), converting testosterone to estrogen in the bodies of frogs leading to homosexual proclivities.
28%
Lee Harvey Oswald didn't act alone.
27%
Princess Diana was assassinated
26%
My dog went to live on farm that was full of other dogs that he could run with and play with and he was much happier than staying with us and peeing on the rug.
25%
Annie Altman's abuse claims

What conspiracy theories will be proven correct by 2100. The conspiracy theory must have been true in 2024 so if the US government gets aliens after 2024 but didn't have them before it doesn't count. Please add your own conspiracy theories. I will be lenient in what is considered a conspiracy theory. If something is widely considered to be true in 2100 it will count as a yes resolution but to resolve beforehand it must be definitively proven and verified by multiple news sources. anything not proven true by 2100 will resolve no. Feel free to ask clarifying questions. In will not bet on this market in case of controversy

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Atrazine works as an endocrine-disrupting chemical (EDC), converting testosterone to estrogen in the bodies of frogs leading to homosexual proclivities.
sold Ṁ10 Atrazine works as an... YES

Research has shown that exposure to atrazine can affect the development and hormonal systems of amphibians, including frogs. Some of the documented effects include alterations in the production and regulation of hormones, such as estrogen and testosterone, which are crucial for reproductive development and behavior.

However, this is not "converting testosterone to estrigen" and there's no evidence that this leads to homosexual tendencies.

sold Ṁ10 Birds aren't real NO

@Daniel_MC

there's no evidence

He said, in a conspiracy theory market

@Daniel_MC to be clear, I like your comment, it's just that the point of this market is people pretending to believe stuff so stupid than nobody could possibly actually hold that belief...

@Daniel_MC Hey Danny Mac

it’s for jokes

We play the diqwad but we still be wise and shit

Also the first answer you see has already been proven true and it’s still only 90

So like it’s also kinda like a market to show people don’t believe shit with hard evidence to

Word to your mother?

100% 👍

@BrunoParga yeah I made the comment because I remember someone who is pretty reliable saying that there wasn't nothing behind the "they're turning the frogs gay" stuff. So I finally researched it. I thought there was a chance it might be a yes!

@Daniel_MC yeah, this is one that I thought had the most chance of being somewhere in the vicinity of true.

Non-human intelligence affecting events on Earth is not extraterrestrial "aliens," and humans are incorrect in believing that reality consists only of the Universe.

So God?

@Daniel_MC Seems like that is what it is

bought Ṁ125 A cure for cancer ha... NO
Comment hidden
This one makes me feel evil, so I ROT13'd it, use ROT13 to decode if you want to keep me company in Hell: Ybh Truevt'f ergverzrag jnf npghnyyl na ZYO-znaqngrq fhfcrafvba
bought Ṁ60 This one makes me fe... NO

Lou Gehrig's retirement was actually an MLB-mandated suspension

The NBA rigged Shaq's free throws

what if shaq becomes commish and admits he, him self, was missing free throws to troll kobe. when happens, resolves yes?

@nmw He wasn’t part of the NBA’s leadership then so that wouldn’t count

That motherfucker WAS real (Tiffany Gomas was wrong the whole time)
bought Ṁ66 That motherfucker WA... YES

"It was an expression of speech"

If this is not the standard of proof, nothing is real.

https://youtube.com/shorts/lH6cZKycNnA?si=jvV7v9-6MvWe0xWx

@TheAllMemeingEye

Mile Hile Club:

You've got 1 shot

1 opportunity

Tiffany Gomas or Taylor Swift.

https://manifold.markets/eaglescout/is-tiffany-gomas-objectively-hotter

You can play Minecraft with either one of them in a bathroom stall or whatever else your little 💚 desires

🐍 🔦

@fire dude why do you keep getting banned, making alt accounts, then tagging me with random stuff in random markets lol?

For the record, hotness is about as non-objective as traits get lmao, but based on my quick search of what Tiffany Gomas is known for (the plane freakout video), I guess Taylor Swift would prob win subjectively due to not being unhinged lol

@TheAllMemeingEye

All right stop
Collaborate and listen
Ice is back with a brand new invention

@fire

Hot sex for your pleasure, set it off
Liquid treasures floatin' in the loft
I'm in the mood, I'm in the mood to lick you
And let my tongue explore all up in you

Rationalussy isn't real.
bought Ṁ500 Rationalussy isn't r... NO

The actual conspiracy is the fake belief that rationalussy isn't real caused by Manifold censorship (proven here: https://manifold.markets/ButtocksCocktoasten/is-manifold-trying-to-censor-ration?r=QnV0dG9ja3NDb2NrdG9hc3Rlbg )

The Epcot sphere was built by aliens as some sort of energy device powering the rat empire.

I mean, there are Americans working in construction, ya know?

√-1 isn't real

...

The Epcot sphere was built by aliens as some sort of energy device powering the rat empire.
bought Ṁ50
Lionel Messi never played for a Real football (soccer) team

Same with this one

√-1 isn't real

I’m going to N/A this because people are interpreting it opposite ways and it’s more trouble than it’s worth