Will there be a civil war in Nigeria before 2030
Basic
6
Ṁ902030
54%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This question resolves to YES if there is a military conflict involving some part of the country against some other part of the country. This could be military vs. civilian, military vs. military, or civilian vs. civilian. Actual violence must be involved, not just threats. There must be at least 1000 people killed in conflict.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Sort by:
Reopening to allow continued trading. @JamesChe If this is a mistake, my apologies; you are welcome to close it again. In my experience the early close date is more often a mistake than intentional, so I'm trying to fix it, but both are fine and you are welcome to handle it as you like.
@JamesChe This seems like the close date should be extended until 2030 to allow people to keep trading on it.
Related questions
Related questions
Will Niger go to war before 2025?
19% chance
Will Nigeria be a democracy in 2040?
62% chance
Will there be a civil war in the United States before 2030?
9% chance
Will any of the following Western countries have a civil war by 2030?
19% chance
Will there be a civil war in Venezuela before 2050?
52% chance
WIll there be a civil war in the UK before 2025?
1% chance
Will the US see a violent insurgency before 2030?
Will there be a 'World War Three' before 2050?
35% chance
Will there be a Third Congo War by 2025?
5% chance
Will there be a violent revolution or Civil war in America by 2100?
51% chance