Will there be a civil war in Nigeria before 2030
6
9
220
2030
54%
chance

This question resolves to YES if there is a military conflict involving some part of the country against some other part of the country. This could be military vs. civilian, military vs. military, or civilian vs. civilian. Actual violence must be involved, not just threats. There must be at least 1000 people killed in conflict.

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Reopening to allow continued trading. @JamesChe If this is a mistake, my apologies; you are welcome to close it again. In my experience the early close date is more often a mistake than intentional, so I'm trying to fix it, but both are fine and you are welcome to handle it as you like.

@JamesChe This seems like the close date should be extended until 2030 to allow people to keep trading on it.

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