Which longevity/aging focused organizations are most effective to contribute to?
13
660Ṁ1434resolved Jun 6
32%10%
SENS
20%7%
Rejuvenome
17%6%
American Federation for Aging Research (AFAR)
14%5%
Methuselah Foundation
12%4%
Any Basic Boring Healthcare Research Dealing with Health Habits (e.g. reduction of smoking, obesity, diabetes, etc.)
4%1.4%
Longevity Science Foundation
0.5%Other
65%
Ante / discussion thread
1.4%
Rejuvenome
0.1%
Methuselah Fund
Aging kills and impairs a huge number of people, and research to prevent or mitigate this could potentially be highly impactful. I'm creating this market to learn recommendations for organizations in the area that would be best to contribute to.
Resolution: This market resolves to the top organization(s) weighted by assessed expected impact, based on a combination of market consensus and my own research (or if there is any expert who volunteers to take over resolution I'll defer to them). I will examine the top suggestions put forward by the market and probably spend only a small amount of time guesstimating potential impact at each (I expect to spend more time researching this area in the future but I want this market to resolve quickly). I will rely on any analysis suggested by the market.
This market can consider both nonprofits and for-profits, and can also take a broad view of contributions including donations, investments, and direct work.
Some articles on the cause area:
- https://www.openphilanthropy.org/research/cause-reports/scientific-research/mechanisms-aging
- https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/topics/aging-research
Close date updated to 2022-05-22 11:59 pm
Close date updated to 2022-05-29 11:59 pm
Extending the close date because I haven't had time to do even a cursory amount of research for resolution.
Close date updated to 2022-06-05 11:59 pm
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
🏅 Top traders
# | Name | Total profit |
---|---|---|
1 | Ṁ831 | |
2 | Ṁ65 | |
3 | Ṁ41 | |
4 | Ṁ29 | |
5 | Ṁ28 |
People are also trading
Related questions
Will any company successfully develop a therapeutic treatment that rejuvenates healthspan by at least 10 years by 2030?
22% chance
Will the Effective Altruism movement continue to exist in 2035?
75% chance
Will the majority of developed nations prioritize funding for longevity research over space exploration by 2035?
46% chance
Will NR or NMN supplementation by proven to promote longevity-related outcomes in healthy adults by 2025?
15% chance
Will it be conclusively shown (through some way) that slowing the aging rate of AI researchers down (eg interventions decreasing DNAm age) will increase their net output/productivity by 2029?
14% chance
Will Stephen Wolfram self-report or get in the news 4 any pro-longevity intervention (eg rapamycin/ozempic) by EOY 2028?
32% chance
Longevity Expert Death Pool: which longevity expert will die the youngest?
Will the mouse with the higher lifespan be found from Jose Luis Ricon's Rejuvenome or Aubrey de Grey's LEVF?
Will XPRIZE award at least $61 million to a team for reversing aging?
36% chance
Will Altos Labs trial an anti-aging intervention in humans by 2030?
59% chance