lol

Awesome! @SurvivalBias , thanks for betting in my market. Your odds for my being first to die are higher than my estimate. What habits should I change to lower those odds?

@CrissmanLoomis it's less about any one specific habit and more about lack of understanding of medical science in general, and observational studies and their massive limitations in particular, that I've seen on your blog. The two specifics I would point out is the (relative) disregard for cholesterol, and the insistence that walking a lot is a silver bullet. But it's really mostly about epistemological humility and epistemological hygiene in general.

(Yeah, I agree Sinclair is probably worse on all counts and I don't know about some of the others. But it's your market, not any of theirs.)

How is the market supposed to resolve if you die? (As in, who will click the "Crissman has died" button?)

@JuliusSimonelli Will be up to the mods to update!

@LuisCostigan Rhonda is a bold choice, given she's the only female on the list, and women naturally live longer. Reasoning?

@CrissmanLoomis I remember thinking exactly that, and must have misclicked.

why no https://www.youtube.com/@SiimLand/

@diadematus I hadn't come across him before. Good stuff. Anyway, he's about 10 years younger than the rest of the pool, so I'd rather leave him off this one anyway since he would delay the confirmation of the youngest death by ten years or so.

Great question. One note: He's better known as Andrew Huberman.

@kenmichaels Right! Corrected. Thanks.

@CrissmanLoomis Not corrected on my side fwiw

@LuisCostigan Fixed. It took me a while to realize you were talking about the list, not the birthdays screen shot.