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MANIFOLD
Which 2026 NEWSMAKER will run for president in 2028
9
Ṁ225Ṁ232
2028
59%
Marjorie Taylor Greene
52%
Thomas Massie
50%
Ro Khanna
34%
Jasmine Crockett
31%
James Talarico
26%
Abdul El Sayed
24%
Spencer Pratt
21%
John fetterman
8%
Graham Platner

Resolution criteria

This market is an independent multiple-choice market. Each option representing an individual candidate will resolve independently to YES or NO based on whether that individual officially runs for President of the United States in the 2028 election cycle.

  • YES Resolution: An individual will resolve to YES if they publicly announce their candidacy for President of the United States for the 2028 election, or if they formally file a Form 2 (Statement of Candidacy) with the Federal Election Commission (FEC).

  • NO Resolution: If an individual does not officially declare candidacy or file a Form 2, they will resolve to NO.

  • Exploratory Committees: Simply launching a presidential exploratory committee does not qualify as running unless followed by an official declaration of candidacy or an FEC Form 2 filing.

  • Sources: Official filings can be verified via the FEC Candidate Database. Public declarations will be verified through credible national news outlets (e.g., AP News, Reuters).

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