Resolution criteria
This market is an independent multiple-choice market. Each option representing an individual candidate will resolve independently to YES or NO based on whether that individual officially runs for President of the United States in the 2028 election cycle.
YES Resolution: An individual will resolve to YES if they publicly announce their candidacy for President of the United States for the 2028 election, or if they formally file a Form 2 (Statement of Candidacy) with the Federal Election Commission (FEC).
NO Resolution: If an individual does not officially declare candidacy or file a Form 2, they will resolve to NO.
Exploratory Committees: Simply launching a presidential exploratory committee does not qualify as running unless followed by an official declaration of candidacy or an FEC Form 2 filing.
Sources: Official filings can be verified via the FEC Candidate Database. Public declarations will be verified through credible national news outlets (e.g., AP News, Reuters).
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