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MANIFOLD
How many of these Lean Republican races will Republicans win?
1
Ṁ1.1kṀ30
Nov 4
96%
1 or more
90%
3 or more
80%
5 or more
70%
6 or more
60%
7 or more
55%
8 or more
50%
9 or more
33%
11 or more
10%
13 or more
5%
15 or more
1%
Republicans win all 16

Resolves YES for all correct answers for the number of races republicans win of these 16 races:

Alabama District 2 - Rhett Marques (R) vs. Shomari Figures (D)
Colorado District 3 - Jeff Hurd (R) vs. Dwayne Romero (D)
Colorado District 4 - Lauren Boebert (R) vs. Eileen Laubacher (D)
Florida District 7 - Ryan Elijah (R) vs. Bale Dalton (D)
Florida District 9 - Dan Green (R) vs. Darren Soto (D)
Florida District 27 - María Elvira Salazar (R) vs. Eliott Rodriguez (D)
Kentucky District 6 - Ralph Alvarado (R) vs. Zach Dembo (D)
Maine District 2 - Paul LePage (R) vs. Matt Dunlap (D)
Minnesota District 1 - Brad Finstad (R) vs. Jake Johnson (D)
Montana District 1 - Aaron Flint (R) vs. Sam Forstag (D)
Ohio District 15 - Mike Carey (R) vs. Don Leonard (D)
Pennsylvania District 1 - Brian Fitzpatrick (R) vs. Bob Harvie (D)
South Carolina District 1 - Jenny Costa Honeycutt (R) vs. Nancy Lacore (D)
Texas District 23 - Brandon Herrera (R) vs. Katy Padilla Stout (D)
Virginia District 5 - John McGuire (R) vs. Tom Perriello (D)
Wisconsin District 1 - Bryan Steil (R) vs. Mitchell Berman (D)

As of market creation, Manifold rates these 16 races Lean Republican.

Check out the up to date election map and more markets here:

https://manifold.markets/election?r=SmFjazE

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