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MANIFOLD
How many House seats will the Democrats win in 2026?
5
Ṁ2.9kṀ689
Dec 31
99%
194+ (2016 result)
99%
213+ (2022 result)
98%
215+ (2024 result)
97%
218+ (majority)
95%
222+ (2020 result)
74%
226+ seats
69%
230+ seats
61%
233+ seats
58%
235+ (2018 result)
57%
236+ seats
56%
237+ seats
55%
238+ seats
53%
239+ seats
52%
240+ seats
51%
241+ seats
50%
242+ seats
50%
243+ seats
49%
244+ seats
48%
245+ seats
47%
246+

Including independents who intend to caucus with the Democrats.

Based on consensus of credible reporting called races.

Please format answers as X+ for X or more seats. If there's relevant context to the number, feel free to add it; or just add numbers that seem relevant to forecast.

See also:
/ShaneBo/will-democrats-have-225-or-more-sea

/kl938/will-the-democratic-party-win-more-Sh65d0959n

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