Generic congressional ballot on election day 2026? (More buckets)
4
Ṁ1.2kṀ772Nov 1
29%
D +9.0 to +9.9
22%
D +10.0 to +10.9
22%
D +8.0 to +8.9
11%
D +11.0 to +11.9
7%
D +7.0 to +7.9
3%
D +12.0 to +12.9
3%
D +6.0 to +6.9
1%
D +14.0 to +14.9
As of Market creation, October 11, the generic ballot is D+9.1
Resolves based on https://www.natesilver.net/p/generic-ballot-average-2026-nate-silver-bulletin-congress-polls as of 00:00 Eastern Time on Tuesday, November 3, 2026, or preferably a specific number reported by Silver Bulletin as the election day generic ballot. Based on the "Net Support" metric.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000People are also trading
Related questions
What party will hold the House of Representatives after the 2026 midterms
What will be the generic ballot on election day 2026?
Will I vote in the 2026 midterms?
35% chance
Blue Wave in 2026?
81% chance
What will really exactly happen in the 2026 midterms election?
Which Party will win the House popular vote in 2026?
Will the mail-in ballot restriction go into effect for the 2026 election?
6% chance
Which state will have the highest voter turnout at midterms in 2026?
What will happen before election day for the 2026 midterms? [Add Answers] (Please ensure you read the rules)
Will any independent win a U.S. House seat in the 2026 elections?
22% chance