Will this market get at least 75 traders by the end of March? [Advertisement feature test] | Manifold Markets

Will this market get at least 75 traders by the end of March? [Advertisement feature test]

closed Apr 1

22

3%

chance

1D

1W

1M

ALL

I'm testing out the new ads feature. I've created 8 identical markets; this one and 7 others. For each of them I'm purchasing different amounts of advertisements.

It's possible for people to figure out which are which by checking the market URL that the ad links to, but I politely request that you don't do so, or at least don't post it in the comments.

After the markets all close, I'll post a list of which markets had what ads purchased for them and how many traders they each got, and we can see whether the ads had any noticible impact.

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YES payouts

Ṁ49

Michael's Bot LaboratoryBot

Ṁ33

Ṁ9

Ṁ6

Ṁ1

NO payouts

Ṁ951

Ṁ464

Ṁ160

Ṁ142

Ṁ98

Ṁ73

Ṁ68

Robert Cousineau

Ṁ60

Benedek Koleszár

Ṁ28

Ṁ27

Ṁ23

Ṁ22

Ṁ16

Ṁ1

Conflux bought Ṁ900 NO from 8% to 3%

Messy Bones bought Ṁ100 NO from 10% to 8%

Messy Bones bought Ṁ100 NO from 11% to 10%

Fedor Beets bought Ṁ65 NO from 12% to 11%

Fedor Beets sold Ṁ1 YES from 13% to 12%

Benedek Koleszár bought Ṁ25 NO at 13%

Messy Bones bought Ṁ100 NO from 16% to 13%

firstuserhere sold Ṁ50 NO from 14% to 16%

JeppeKauffmann bought Ṁ20 NO from 15% to 14%

firstuserhere bought Ṁ50 NO from 17% to 15%

Robert Cousineau bought Ṁ50 NO from 19% to 17%

Michael's Bot LaboratoryBot filled limit order Ṁ6/Ṁ8 YES at 19% (cancelled)

Messy Bones bought Ṁ100 NO from 23% to 18%

cloe bought Ṁ10 NO from 24% to 23%

cloe bought Ṁ25 NO from 26% to 24%

Nick11235 bought Ṁ49 NO from 31% to 26%

cloe bought Ṁ10 NO from 32% to 31%

cloe bought Ṁ10 NO from 33% to 32%

cloe bought Ṁ10 NO from 34% to 33%

Joseph Noonan bought Ṁ20 NO from 36% to 34%

Brendan Finan sold Ṁ3 YES from 37% to 36%

cloe bought Ṁ10 NO from 38% to 37%

cloe bought Ṁ10 NO from 40% to 38%

Isaac King bought Ṁ55 NO from 48% to 40%

duN bought Ṁ30 NO from 53% to 48%

duN bought Ṁ33 NO from 59% to 53%

cos created limit order for Ṁ1 NO at 64%

cos filled limit order Ṁ1/Ṁ1 YES at 52%

cos filled limit order Ṁ1/Ṁ1 YES at 47%

cos created limit order for Ṁ1 NO at 70%

duN bought Ṁ10 NO from 61% to 59%

duN sold Ṁ9 YES from 62% to 61%

Wobbles bought Ṁ10 NO from 65% to 62%

Stan Pinsent sold Ṁ59 YES from 71% to 65%

Joseph Noonan bought Ṁ10 YES from 70% to 71%

Fedor Beets bought Ṁ10 YES from 69% to 70%

Fedor Beets sold Ṁ10 NO from 66% to 69%

Fedor Beets bought Ṁ10 NO from 69% to 66%

Meher Harshith bought Ṁ1 YES at 69%

Stan Pinsent bought Ṁ55 YES from 57% to 69%

duN bought Ṁ9 YES from 55% to 57%

turb bought Ṁ25 YES from 45% to 55%

bessarabov bought Ṁ1 NO from 46% to 45%

cloe bought Ṁ10 NO from 52% to 46%

Jeff B.-K. bought Ṁ10 NO from 59% to 52%

Brendan Finan bought Ṁ5 YES from 55% to 59%

J. F. Jurchen bought Ṁ5 YES from 50% to 55%

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