Will this market get at least 75 traders by the end of March? [Advertisement feature test] | Manifold Markets

Will this market get at least 75 traders by the end of March? [Advertisement feature test]

closed Apr 1

30

3%

chance

1D

1W

1M

ALL

I'm testing out the new ads feature. I've created 8 identical markets; this one and 7 others. For each of them I'm purchasing different amounts of advertisements.

It's possible for people to figure out which are which by checking the market URL that the ad links to, but I politely request that you don't do so, or at least don't post it in the comments.

After the markets all close, I'll post a list of which markets had what ads purchased for them and how many traders they each got, and we can see whether the ads had any noticible impact.

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YES payouts

Ṁ215

Ṁ42

Ṁ39

Ṁ30

Ṁ15

Ṁ14

Ṁ9

Ṁ5

NO payouts

Ṁ1,484

Ṁ627

Ṁ286

Ṁ185

Michael's Bot LaboratoryBot

Ṁ150

Ṁ131

Ṁ89

Ṁ69

Ṁ51

Robert Cousineau

Ṁ42

Ṁ31

Ṁ23

Ṁ19

Ṁ5

Ṁ3

Ṁ1

Entropy Bot bought Ṁ1 NO at 3%

Conflux bought Ṁ1,400 NO from 10% to 3%

Messy Bones bought Ṁ100 NO from 12% to 10%

Messy Bones bought Ṁ100 NO from 13% to 12%

JeppeKauffmann bought Ṁ20 NO from 14% to 13%

evergreen bought Ṁ5 NO at 14%

Wobbles bought Ṁ150 NO from 17% to 14%

Wobbles bought Ṁ100 NO from 21% to 17%

cloe bought Ṁ10 NO at 21%

cloe bought Ṁ25 NO from 22% to 21%

Jack bought Ṁ100 NO from 27% to 22%

Victor Li bought Ṁ50 NO from 29% to 27%

Rahul Shah sold Ṁ8 YES from 31% to 29%

Nick11235 bought Ṁ20 NO from 32% to 31%

Nick11235 bought Ṁ40 NO from 35% to 32%

Andrew Hebb sold Ṁ16 YES from 38% to 35%

Lawson Clark sold Ṁ26 NO from 35% to 38%

Rahul Shah bought Ṁ10 YES from 34% to 35%

Ten Shino sold Ṁ4 YES from 35% to 34%

cloe bought Ṁ10 NO from 36% to 35%

Meher Harshith sold Ṁ0 YES at 36%

Messy Bones bought Ṁ50 NO from 40% to 36%

Robert Cousineau bought Ṁ25 NO from 43% to 40%

Brendan Finan sold Ṁ3 YES from 44% to 43%

cloe bought Ṁ25 NO from 46% to 44%

cloe bought Ṁ30 NO from 50% to 46%

Isaac King bought Ṁ25 NO from 53% to 50%

Messy Bones bought Ṁ20 NO from 56% to 53%

cos filled limit order Ṁ1/Ṁ1 YES at 48%

cos created limit order for Ṁ1 NO at 65%

cos created limit order for Ṁ1 NO at 60%

cos filled limit order Ṁ1/Ṁ1 YES at 44%

Michael's Bot LaboratoryBot filled limit order Ṁ9/Ṁ10 YES at 56% (cancelled)

Messy Bones bought Ṁ35 NO from 60% to 55%

Messy Bones bought Ṁ40 NO from 66% to 60%

Andrew Hebb bought Ṁ30 YES from 63% to 66%

Lawson Clark bought Ṁ15 NO from 66% to 63%

Tommy Eagle bought Ṁ10 YES from 65% to 66%

Michael's Bot LaboratoryBot filled limit order Ṁ54/Ṁ54 NO at 65%

Mira filled limit order Ṁ150/Ṁ150 YES at 75%

Michael's Bot LaboratoryBot filled limit order Ṁ10/Ṁ13 YES at 63% (cancelled)

Messy Bones bought Ṁ30 NO from 68% to 62%

Cris bought Ṁ1 NO at 68%

Joshua bought Ṁ10 YES from 67% to 68%

Fedor Beets bought Ṁ10 NO from 70% to 67%

Ten Shino bought Ṁ10 YES from 69% to 70%

Meher Harshith bought Ṁ1 YES from 68% to 69%

Wobbles bought Ṁ10 YES from 67% to 68%

duN bought Ṁ20 YES from 63% to 67%

turb bought Ṁ25 YES from 56% to 63%

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