Will there be at least 1000 Israeli civilian deaths in war this year?
23
1kṀ26k
resolved Jan 2
Resolved
NO

Currently there have been almost none, but things are escalating fast with Iran.

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bought Ṁ100 YES

This seems quite close and I can't get a straight answer from quick googling

@AndrewMcKnight It seems like a NO to me; have you found any source that claims YES?

@IsaacKing It’s of course no

@IsaacKing I didn't factor out Oct 7. Seems no without it.

@AndrewMcKnight Yeah. Some hostages died in 2024 but nowhere near 1000. 12 Druze in Majdal Shams in the Golan (I don't know if Syrian passport or Israeli) were killed in a Hezbollah attack. A few deaths from terrorism, missile attacks, drones. Nowhere near 1000.

@PatrickMcCann almost all civilians were killed last year on oct 7th

Also that's all deaths, not civilians. Even including last year the civilian count is still below 1000; hundreds of the Oct 7th deaths were security forces.

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