Will there be at least 1000 Israeli civilian deaths in war this year?
Plus
16
Ṁ1047Jan 2
10%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Currently there have been almost none, but things are escalating fast with Iran.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Sort by:
Related questions
Related questions
Will a state-based conflict between Israel and Iran cause at least 1,000 deaths before 2025?
3% chance
Will the death toll in the current Israel-Palestinian conflict reach 100,000?
75% chance
Will state-based conflict between Israel and Iran cause at least 1,000 deaths before 2025?
3% chance
Will the death toll in Gaza reach 100.000 before the end of the year?
13% chance
Will more than 5000 people die in a conflict between Israel and Hezbollah/Lebanon during 2024?
20% chance
Will the civilian death rate from Israeli airstrikes be 60% or higher at the conclusion of the current Palestine war?
84% chance
Will more than 5% of Gazans be killed during the ongoing war between IDF and Hamas by the end of 2024?
9% chance
Will a state-based conflict between Israel and Iran cause at least 10,000 deaths before 2025?
2% chance
Will at least 100 Israelis or Palestinians be killed by Iranian missiles before 2025?
9% chance
What will be the ratio of Gazan to Israeli civilian deaths in the 2023 Hamas-Israel conflict?