Will there be a trivorce in the United States by 2040?

Ṁ254

Ṁ270

2040

35%

chance

ALL

https://www.smbc-comics.com/comic/tri

Must be a real trivorce.

There are exactly 3 participants.
They were all legally married.
Their marriage(s) terminated all at the same time.

Obviously the legalization of polygamy is a prerequisite. I can't know about all trivorces, so this market resolves based on whether any are brought to my attention.

Get Ṁ200 play money

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I don't see very many possible worlds in which polygamy is legalised and there isn't at least one trivorce in the ensuing five years.

Any country?

@MartinRandall United States only

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