Will Satoshi Nakamoto spend any bitcoin before 2035?
15
85
Ṁ526Ṁ350
2035
25%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
From any address that has at least a 75% chance of being owned by whoever controls the pseudonym.
Get Ṁ200 play money
Related questions
Sort by:
@IsaacKing The "Ancient/OG" method of "Bitcoin Time Locks" had a limit of the year 2035.
Did you know this or just a coincidence you chose that year?
predicts NO
@IsaacKing I can't find the old thread on bitcointalk , but it had something to do with block height and possibly unix.
Here is a decent article on others that were available once the old way was found to not be good enough : timelocks
I could be wrong but something to do with json files in the first few years also caused major issues (this could be and probably is unrelated)
Related questions
Will the identity of Satoshi Nakamoto be known before 2035?
12% chance
Will the last Bitcoin be mined before 2140?
55% chance
Will either a Nobel Prize in Economics or a Turing Award be awarded to Satoshi Nakamoto before 2050?
11% chance
Will any new country adopt Bitcoin as its legal tender by 2030?
82% chance
Will the identity of Satoshi Nakamoto be known before 2035?
12% chance
Will the Bitcoin money supply exceed 21 million units any time before 2040?
1% chance
Will Bitcoin switch to Proof of Stake before 2030?
16% chance
At any point before 2030, will 1 bitcoin be worth over $1M?
18% chance
Will Forbes put Satoshi Nakamoto on The World's Billionaires list by 2030?
17% chance
Will Bitcoin.com promote only Bitcoin (BTC) before 2030?
17% chance