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Will the identity of Satoshi Nakamoto be revealed before 2031?
27
Ṁ210Ṁ1.8k
2031
32%
chance

Resolves as YES if strong evidence as to the identity of Satoshi Nakamoto emerges before January 1st 2031.

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Bitcoin
Satoshi Nakamoto
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I believe this is extraordinarily strong evidence, and leaves no realistic possibility for Satoshi to be anyone else.

https://www.nytimes.com/2026/04/08/business/bitcoin-satoshi-nakamoto-identity-adam-back.html?unlocked_article_code=1.cFA.xuLF.Y_nzww8k9AJ0&smid=url-share

https://polymarket.com/event/who-will-hbo-doc-identify-as-satoshi?tid=1728343412305

Abritrage https://manifold.markets/wilsonkime/will-any-of-the-following-be-confir

Who cares? Is he @agency ?

@DabbieTrekko well, he is a bitcoin whale, so he might be interested in whalebait

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