Will the identity of Satoshi Nakamoto be revealed before 2031?
Basic
15
Ṁ6772031
22%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves as YES if strong evidence as to the identity of Satoshi Nakamoto emerges before January 1st 2031.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Sort by:
Related questions
Related questions
Will the identity of Satoshi Nakamoto be known before 2035?
23% chance
Will the identity of Satoshi Nakamoto be known before 2035?
20% chance
Will any of the following be confirmed to be Satoshi Nakamoto?
Will Satoshi Nakamoto spend any bitcoin before 2035?
25% chance
Is Satoshi Nakamoto alive?
47% chance
Will the true identity of Satoshi Nakamoto be revealed by the end of 2025?
5% chance
Who is Satoshi Nakamoto
Will we know who Satoshi Nakamoto is within two years of Tyler Cowen’s prediction?
18% chance
Will Banksy's identity become public and beyond doubt by 2030?
59% chance
Will the Supreme Court leaker's identity be known by 2030?
35% chance