Will the first human to reach 150 years of age be a billionare?
27
1kṀ17832100
17%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
A common criticism of life extension research is that the benefits will go to the super-rich. But this is not reflected in the current statistics of the world's oldest people. Will this change?
2023 dollars. Time spent medically alive (or being simulated) only.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
Sort by:
The world's oldest person is 116 years old, vs world's oldest billionaire at 101 years old. it seems unlikely that the tech to extend lifespan, in the worlds where I (and you) can profit on this market, will be available to billionaires over a decade before it is available for millionaires and/or the general population.
Related questions
Related questions
Will anyone become a trillionaire before 2030?
61% chance
Will the world see a trillionaire before the year 2035?
77% chance
Who will be the first trillionaire?
Will I live to be more than 1 billion years old?
7% chance
Will anyone be at least 130 years old by 2072?
51% chance
Will I become a billionaire before 2053?
24% chance
Will I have been a billionaire before 2051?
16% chance
Will anyone reach 125 years of age before 2035?
14% chance
Will I be a trillionaire by 2100?
15% chance
Will anyone be at least 150 years old by 2072?
12% chance