World's first trillionaire named Time Person of the Year within two years?
4
100Ṁ852035
23%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This question asks if the world's first trillionaire will be named Time Person of the Year after, but no more than two years after, the date they first become a trillionaire (i.e. in the next two POTY cycles). I will use the market /IsaacKing/who-will-be-the-worlds-first-trilli as the basis for who the world's first trillionaire is, and I will estimate the date they became a trillionaire on the basis of news articles in the comments and my best judgement.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
People are also trading
Related questions
Who will be the first trillionaire?
Who will be TIME Magazine's 2026 Person of the Year?
Who will be the world's first trillionaire?
Will there be a trillionaire by the end of 2028?
52% chance
Will anyone become a trillionaire before 2030?
65% chance
Who will be the world's first trillionaire?
Will Elon Musk be the world's first trillionaire?
73% chance
When will there be the world‘s first trillionaire?
Will the first trillionaire be crowned by the end of the decade?
58% chance
Who will be the first officially recognized USD trillionaire?