This market resolves to Yes. Max position Ṁ5 per person.
➕
Plus
53
Ṁ821
resolved Feb 7
Resolved
NO

If any non-bot participant placs one or more bets on YES that total more than Ṁ5, I reserve the right to resolve the market to either N/A or to NO, in whatever way best punishes the user(s) who placed those invalid bets.

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Basic scripted API check results – no guarantees, but it passes sanity checks. Bots and NO (net) positions were filtered out, and only YES accounted. How much mana did each group bet in total:

  `valid YES bets?` `how much at stake`
  <lgl>                           <dbl>
1 FALSE                            177.
2 TRUE                             147.

How many people are on each side:

  `valid YES bets?` `how many people`
  <lgl>                         <int>
1 FALSE                             5
2 TRUE                             36

Transgressors:

"cos"           "Daniel Wünn"   "Dorothy Green" "Douglasx"      "Sophia A"

Not sure what conclusions to draw here. @IsaacKing.

Ok, I didn't count up everything precisely, as there were a lot of trades, but just by eyeballing it, it looks like most users who placed invalid YES bets currently hold YES shares. The one exception is Lauro Langosco, who placed an invalid YES bet of M$6 and then bought a bunch of NO. However this is not enough to outweigh the other rule-breakers who bought YES, so collectively, it would be most punishing to the rule-breakers to resolve this to NO.

Any disagreement?

There's an m131 yes bet

This market resolves to Yes. Max position Ṁ5 per person., 8k, beautiful, illustration, trending on art station, picture of the day, epic composition

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