If any non-bot participant placs one or more bets on YES that total more than Ṁ30, I reserve the right to resolve the market to either N/A or to NO, in whatever way best punishes the user(s) who placed those invalid bets.
All my markets of this type with various maximum mana investments:
1,000🏅 Top traders
| # | Name | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ṁ64 | |
| 2 | Ṁ18 | |
| 3 | Ṁ11 | |
| 4 | Ṁ8 | |
| 5 | Ṁ8 |
Basic scripted API check results – no guarantees, but it passes sanity checks. Bots and NO (net) positions were filtered out, and only YES accounted. How much mana did each group bet in total:
`valid YES bets?` `how much at stake`
<lgl> <dbl>
1 FALSE 31
2 TRUE 968.How many people are on each side:
`valid YES bets?` `how many people`
<lgl> <int>
1 FALSE 1
2 TRUE 41Transgressors:
"Franek Żak"Almost completely legit @IsaacKing, personally, I’d go with YES, but 🤷♂️
Alright, here's what seems fairest to me:
Get a list of everyone who placed invalid bets on YES.
Check to see how much mana those users would collectively lose from a YES or NO resolution. If they would lose the most from a NO resolution, then:
Get a list of everyone who did not place any invalid bets on YES.
Check to see how much those users would collectively lose from a NO resolution.
If the invalid bettors would lose more than the valid bettors, resolve to NO.
Otherwise, resolve to YES.
However, that also seems like it would take a lot of work. I'd have to write a script to download the trading history, calculate who placed invalid bets and how much they stand to lose each way. I don't want to lose several hours to this, so I'm also thinking about doing something simpler like just resolving to YES. (Which is allowed per the description.)
Thoughts?
This market resolves to Yes. Max position Ṁ30 per person., 8k, beautiful, illustration, trending on art station, picture of the day, epic composition
