MANIFOLD
Tesla will begin offering a truly driverless taxi service to the general public in at least one city in 2026
8
Ṁ1kṀ718
2027
66%
chance

This is a prediction from https://www.understandingai.org/p/17-predictions-for-ai-in-2026

It will resolve according to the judgement of the authors. If they don't publish a retrospective by the end of February, it will resolve according to my judgement.

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bought Ṁ20 YES

Since there aren't any detailed resolution criteria the driverless (probably heavily remotely monitored and controlled) robotaxi service they are offering now, should suffice for a Yes resolution

@tobiasscheuer https://electrek.co/2026/01/22/tesla-didnt-remove-the-robotaxi-safety-monitor-it-just-moved-them-to-a-trailing-car/

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