If I play Kung Fu Chess against someone who's rated at least 1800 in regular chess, will I win?
7
170Ṁ2412030
33%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resovles based on the first such game that happens.
I won't collude with them to throw the game, but I might manipulate this market in other ways, like practicing beforehand, or finding an 1800 player who is really bad at Kung Fu Chess.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000People are also trading
Chess: Will I hit 1500 rapid before 1300?
45% chance
Will GPT-5 have a rating of at least 2000 in chess?
38% chance
Will I reach a chess.com rating of 2600 before 2026?
12% chance
Who will be the first chess player to reach 2900 FIDE rating?
Who will be the first chess player to reach 3000 FIDE rating?
When will a Large Language Model beat me at chess?
Will I win a game of chess against Manifold? (see other poll)
83% chance
Who will be the highest-rated chess player at the end of 2026?
Sort by:
@IsaacKing For reference, in regular chess playing against someone with a rating difference of 400 would give you about 8% win rate
People are also trading
Related questions
Chess: Will I hit 1500 rapid before 1300?
45% chance
Will GPT-5 have a rating of at least 2000 in chess?
38% chance
Will I reach a chess.com rating of 2600 before 2026?
12% chance
Who will be the first chess player to reach 2900 FIDE rating?
Who will be the first chess player to reach 3000 FIDE rating?
When will a Large Language Model beat me at chess?
Will I win a game of chess against Manifold? (see other poll)
83% chance
Who will be the highest-rated chess player at the end of 2026?