If any UFOs are highly advanced technology, are they of non-human origin? | Manifold

If any UFOs are highly advanced technology, are they of non-human origin?

30

1kṀ8386

2050

14%

chance

1D

1W

1M

ALL

If /IsaacKing/are-any-ufos-actually-highlyadvance resolves YES, this market resolves to the correct answer. If we find out that they are advanced technology but it's unclear who created them, this market remains open until we have a definitve answer.

"Human" means specifically the humanity we live in. If they were created by biologically-human creatures from a parallel universe's Earth, this market resolves to YES.

If that market resolves NO, this resolves N/A.

Conspiracy Theories

Unidentified Anomalous Phenomena (UAPs)

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predictedYES

These markets are all over the place and completely inconsistent. This market should be at 60% right now, and I bid YES because the related market below has been consistently favoring NHI over advanced human technology:

/SteveSokolowski/what-is-going-on-with-david-gruschs-de3add9e7579

predictedNO

On the contrary, this market is way too high, it should be at <1%

predictedNO

I agree, but looking around I see that we don't have a good market to establish the base rate of this. So I've made one:

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Are any UFOs actually highly-advanced technology?

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P(Aliens) - Are the 2020-2022 Pentagon UFO Navy videos evidence of human-level or above intelligent life in the Milky Way?

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