What biological characteristics will the first proven aliens have?
15
1kṀ10269999
36%
Carbon-based biochemistry
28%
Amino acids and proteins
22%
Cells, but with a noticeably different structure
1.3%
Mostly made not of baryonic matter
2%
ATGC DNA
10%
What types of biological structures and processes will the first proven extra-terrestrial (alien) organisms likely have?
Is it similar to life on Earth with DNA as the genetic material, RNA as an intermediate molecule, specific amino acids used to build proteins?
Silicon-based biochemistry instead of carbon-based chemistry?
Chirality and molecular asymmetry opposite to most Earth organisms (left-handed vs right-handed molecules)?
Cellular structures radically different from prokaryotic and eukaryotic cells?
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What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Or create your own play-money betting market on any question you care about.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like betting still use Manifold to get reliable news.
Why use play money?
Why use play money?Mana (Ṁ) is the play-money currency used to bet on Manifold. It cannot be converted to cash. All users start with Ṁ1,000 for free.
Play money means it's much easier for anyone anywhere in the world to get started and try out forecasting without any risk. It also means there's more freedom to create and bet on any type of question.
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