If Manifold removes the option to send mana to charity or redeem it for anything else of value, will Manifold be valued at >=$33 million USD before the end of 2024?
15
1kṀ613resolved Feb 28
Resolved
NO1D
1W
1M
ALL
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
1,000🏅 Top traders
| # | Name | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ṁ79 | |
| 2 | Ṁ46 | |
| 3 | Ṁ36 | |
| 4 | Ṁ9 | |
| 5 | Ṁ7 |
Sort by:
@jack Couldn't you just make a duplicate market in the other currency and bet in opposite directions?
@IsaacKing I don't think indirect mechanisms should count, that's not "the option to send mana to charity".
@MartinRandall Hmm, yeah, I guess if I counted that I'd have to also count arbitrage with Polymarket, but that couldn't possibly have been removed.
Related questions
Related questions
Will Manifold donate at least $50 to a fraudulent charity before 2030?
60% chance
Will manifold allow us to donate Mana to charity at sticker price in 2025?
15% chance
Will Manifold implement some kind of charity program before 2026?
45% chance
How much mana will Manifold sell in 2024?
Will it be possible to convert mana into real money either on Manifold or any other platform by 2025?
8% chance
Will Manifold raise another $500K USD in 2025?
31% chance
Will Manifold ever be worth $1B?
9% chance
Will Manifold have raised $1M USD or more for charity by EOY 2026?
12% chance
Will Manifold have raised $500K USD or more for charity by EOY 2026?
34% chance
If Manifold ceases to allow mana withdrawals, will mana experience significant inflation within the next year?
87% chance