Resolving to NO; I'm pretty sure my intention when asking this question was "the year between market open and market close", not "end of 2023". Our highest (and most recent) valuation was the bridge round we raised in Dec 2022 at $25m post-money

@Austin That may have been your intention, but the more natural reading of "in the next year" is "in 2023". I would expect a phrasing like "within a year from now" or "in the next 12 months" to refer to a year-long period starting from a certain day. In retrospect, In retrospect I should have wondered why you didn't just ask "in 2023", so I agree the phrasing was ambiguous.

I kinda feel cheated for believing in Manifold. I suggest resolving N/A.

@Primer fwiw, I wouldn’t construe a NO position as “not believing in Manifold” so much as “believing a little less hard / more realistically than the YESes”

@MattCWilson Yeah, this was supposed to sound half metaphoric, half conveying my feelings and half pathetic ;)

@Primer All good. Believe me I’d be thrilled to have lost the mana on this one. Cheers mate 😉

Seems kinda overconfident?

What's the news here? Is this just about @JamesGrugett selling some shares a month ago?

Here's a derivative market on Manifold valuation

Will Manifold management team acknowledge that they used a market on Manifold valuation and funding prospects to raise money? (Here's a good market)

/IsaacKing/conditional-on-manifold-continuing

/IsaacKing/conditional-on-manifold-removing-th

When was the 22m round?

Originally bet against this but then had second thoughts, user numbers seem to have gone way up over the last year which might be enough to overcome market conditions. So not sure now.

Liquidity preferences always do the trick for whatever price they want

This was hovering at 50%-70% the last couple months. Here's M$30k in NO limit orders if you think this is at all likely to happen... and let me know if you want more.

Common stock valuation, minimum investment $500k, no silly tricks like writing employees options with poor terms, etc.

[buys a bunch of YES] I'd like to purchase one share of Manifold at a valutation of $34M, please

Expecting a lower price from Alameda shares being offloaded.

@Austin you gotta consider the stock market and what happened with the average profitlessCo.