Will Manifold donate at least $50 to a fraudulent charity before 2030?
Basic
7
Ṁ159
2030
78%
chance

Resolves YES if, before the start of 2030, there is evidence that Manifold for Charity has donated (according to itself) to a charity that either is fake or has committed some kind of charity fraud. The amount of money donated by Manifold must be >= $50.

Resolves NO otherwise

Get
Ṁ1,000
and
S1.00