Are AI and its effects are the most important existential risk, given only public information available in 2021?
14
1kṀ354
2300
89%
chance

One of the questions from https://jacyanthis.com/big-questions.

Resolves according to my judgement of whether the criteria have been met, taking into account clarifications from @JacyAnthis, who made those predictions. (The goal is that they'd feel comfortable betting to their credance in this market, so I want the resolution criteria to match their intention.)

Market resolves once existential risk seems significantly more researched by the global scientific community than it was at market creation.

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