Perfect score achieved by an AI model in the International Math Olympiad (IMO) 2026?

10kṀ15k

2026

69%

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same settings as this, but for a perfect score, not gold, and for the International Math Olympiad (IMO) 2026, not 2025.

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How many perfect scores will there be at IMO 2026?

How many points above the gold cutoff will the best 2026 IMO AI get?

Will the AIMO (Artificial Intelligence Mathematical Olympiad) Grand Prize be won before 2026?

14% chance

Will an AI get bronze or silver (but not gold) on any International Math Olympiad by end of 2025?

59% chance

When will an open-sourced AI win a Gold Medal in the International Math Olympiad?

How many years will pass between AI getting an IMO bronze medal and IMO perfect score?

How many years between an AI scoring bronze on an IMO and an AI solving half of a Miklós Schweitzer exam?

Will an AI achieve a perfect score on the Miklós Schweitzer Competition before 2028?

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If this happens, then narrow AGI in the field of mathematics has been achieved.

let’s operationalize that and bet on it!

@Vesperstelo hey thanks for the 9000 mana of liquidity!!!

opened a Ṁ6,250 YES at 71% order

@RyanGreenblatt limit order up 🥰

bought Ṁ50 NO

@jim Hmm, I think I'm too much of a coward and I update too much on people strongly betting this up against me. Not sure though...

People are also trading

How many perfect scores will there be at IMO 2026?

How many points above the gold cutoff will the best 2026 IMO AI get?

Will the AIMO (Artificial Intelligence Mathematical Olympiad) Grand Prize be won before 2026?

14% chance

Will an AI get bronze or silver (but not gold) on any International Math Olympiad by end of 2025?

59% chance

When will an open-sourced AI win a Gold Medal in the International Math Olympiad?

How many years will pass between AI getting an IMO bronze medal and IMO perfect score?

How many years between an AI scoring bronze on an IMO and an AI solving half of a Miklós Schweitzer exam?

Will an AI achieve a perfect score on the Miklós Schweitzer Competition before 2028?

38% chance

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