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MANIFOLD
Will Israel attack Turkey, Saudi Arabia, Iran, Kuwait, or Jordan in 2026?
24
Ṁ100Ṁ1.7k
resolved Apr 24
100%93%
Iran
6%
Turkey
0.1%
Saudi Arabia
0.1%
Kuwait
0.1%
Jordan
0.1%Other

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broken market, but we had a quick choice for Iran and luckily no one invested in Other so let's just resolve and walk away

bought Ṁ8 YES

Should other resolve yes because Lebanon? It seems that the market is linked, which is probably not what you wanted

bought Ṁ40 NO

This seems multiple choice market, or am I wrong, in that only 1 answer can resolve, but I don't see an option for no. What's the resolution if Israel doesn't attack any of these countries in 2026, or multiple?

How did you resolve that Israel attacked Iran in 2026