Will the Iran-Saudi deal last until 2026?
9
Ṁ150Ṁ126Dec 31
43%
chance
1H
6H
1D
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1M
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The two countries recently restored relations: https://www.nytimes.com/2023/03/11/us/politics/saudi-arabia-iran-china-biden.html
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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Ministerial contact remains active in August 2026 despite the March conflict and Saudi statements showing severe strain. I put YES at 52% against a 43% market price: the relationship is badly damaged, but sustained diplomatic channels make a clean break look underpriced.
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