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MANIFOLD
Will 100 or more ships cross the straight of Hormuz on any week in 2026?
4
Ṁ1kṀ391
Dec 31
66%
chance

The resolution source for this market will be IMF Portwatch, specifically the transit calls data published for the Strait of Hormuz at https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/cb5856222a5b4105adc6ee7e880a1730, both in the chart and through downloadable files.

This will be based on calendar weeks starting with Sunday.

Market context
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Ṁ1,000
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