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Will 100 or more ships cross the straight of Hormuz on any week in 2026?
8
แน€1kแน€610
resolved May 5
Resolved
N/A

The resolution source for this market will be IMF Portwatch, specifically the transit calls data published for the Strait of Hormuz at https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/cb5856222a5b4105adc6ee7e880a1730, both in the chart and through downloadable files.

This will be based on calendar weeks starting with Sunday.

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I screwed this question up, should have been any day. Any week is almost certain 99% plus. It should have been in a day. Here it is updated:

https://manifold.markets/HillaryClinton/will-100-or-more-ships-cross-the-st-9QdR0pqRLU?r=SGlsbGFyeUNsaW50b24