Will I be able to book a commercial electrical flight between London and New York in 2040?
41
1kṀ1683
2040
29%
chance

The price needs to be lower than a business-class flight today, £8k, inflation-adjusted.
If the flight is driven by part fossil fuel and part electrical flight it does not count (except for reaching cruise altitude, see discussion in comments!).

See a companion market here:

Technology
Climate
Transportation
Foresight Vision Weekend 2023
Airline Industry
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