Gladiator 2, directed by Ridley Scott, with Denzel Washington and Pedro Pascal has been announced.
The question resolves according to numbers at Box Office Mojo.
The original release of the first Gladiator movie grossed $460,583,960 back in 2000.
Would resolve YES early if crossing threshold.
Edit October 3, 2024: This market will stay open until the movie has left theaters (and box office mojo is no longer being updated), with some margin of ~2-4 weeks.
Will adapt closing date if release date changes. If the movie is not released by original market closing date of EOY 2025 (for whatever reason), resolves NO, not N/A.
1,000
3.00@traders do you mind if I change this closing date (and market title) to end of Q1 2025? Seems stupid to hold on to the money all the way to EOY. I created this market when release date wasn't clear yet, I think.
Re-resolution in case of crazy rereleases seems a feasible option.
@HenriThunberg i'm fine with this. of course, you can resolve earlier if it crosses $500 mil, but if it doesn't, you could also set a threshold of something like "a month after it's in fewer than 100 domestic theaters."
@polymathematic i'm very fine with this. IMO I'd just do "the movie has left theaters" (and box office mojo is no longer being updated)