Will Lebanon return to a French Mandate before 2030? | Manifold

Will Lebanon return to a French Mandate before 2030?

Plus

16

Ṁ817

2030

7%

chance

1D

1W

1M

ALL

Resolves YES if France controls Lebanon in a similar way after the fall of the Ottoman Empire.

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Will Israel and Hezbollah have a major war before January 1st, 2030?

Will the Lebanese military strike Hezbollah before EOY 2024?

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Will Israel annex any part of Lebanon by the end of 2025?

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Will Syria federalize before 2030?

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