Will Syria federalize before 2030?
Basic
4
Ṁ212030
37%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
As of late 2023, the Syrian civil war is still ongoing. One proposed solution to end the conflict is the adoption of a federal system of government, as opposed to the current government under Bashar al-Assad which is a unitary system.
This question resolves YES if Syria becomes a federation before 2030, most easily checked by referring to Wikipedia's Syria infobox "Government" section for the word "federal." Other credible souces may be considered as necessary.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Related questions
Related questions
Will the Syrian civil war end before 2025?
17% chance
Russia collapses before 2030
30% chance
Will the Russian Federation break up into multiple independent states before 2030
26% chance
Will Palestine become a full United Nations member state before 2030?
44% chance
Will Russia invade a new country by the end of 2030?
47% chance
Will Russia formally cede any territory before 2030?
48% chance
Will Bashar al-Assad be in power in Syria until the end of 2026?
72% chance
Will there be a new internationally recognized country before 2030?
81% chance
Will the UN add a new member state before 2030?
77% chance
Will there be another Arab Spring by 2035?
50% chance