Will Venezuelan President Nicolas Maduro follow through on his agreement to hold elections in the second half of 2024?
5
36
Ṁ56Ṁ180
2025
53%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
The government of Venezuelan President Nicolas Maduro signed an agreement in October 2023 with the country’s political opposition guaranteeing that an election will be held in the second half of 2024, and that it will be monitored by observers from the European Union and the United Nations.
For this question to resolve to yes, the election must be held in 2024 and the observers named above must monitor it. If there are disputes over whether the election was free and fair, those will not negate this question. The question will only resolve to no if the election is not held or if the above monitors are not allowed to observed it on terms they accept.
https://www.worldpoliticsreview.com/venezuela-maduro-election-politics/
Get Ṁ200 play money
Related questions
Venezuela will have an election before 2025
71% chance
Will Maduro win the most votes in the 2024 Venezuelan presidential election if running against an opposition candidate?
72% chance
Will Vladimir Putin be President of Russia at the end of 2026?
66% chance
Will Vladimir Putin be President of Russia at the end of 2024?
94% chance
Will the dictatorship in Venezuela lose power before 2025?
17% chance
Will the suspension of Venezuela in Mercosur be revoked until the end of 2024?
44% chance
Will Venezuela have free elections in 2024?
21% chance
Will Nicolás Maduro be President of Venezuela on 10 January 2025?
83% chance
Will Vladimir Putin be President of Russia at the end of 2028?
55% chance