Will Manifold Markets introduce real money (inc. crypto) trading before 1 Jan 2024?
74
820
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resolved Jan 1
Resolved
NO
This market resolves to "YES" if real money trading (including that using cryptocurrency) is available on Manifold Markets before the end of 2023
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Why is manifold against real money?

Does it count if it's implemented by a third party?

bought Ṁ33 of NO

Related:

If there is a possibility of a black market (similar to that in video games), it doesn’t depend on whether it’s possible to payout, right?

Mana is real money, you just can't withdraw it.

I assume Greg means real money trading as in ability to withdraw arbitrarily
bought Ṁ20 of YES
Hm, what constitutes real money here? You can already put in real money and trade with the associated token; you can't send the winnings to your own bank account, but you'll soon be able to send it to charity! If you value money to charity approximately as much as money to yourself, then it might be very real at that point. And then: if we implement e.g. payment for subscriptions, virtual goods, or other noncash payouts, would that count as real money?

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