Which prediction markets will win?
At the end of 2024, will any prediction markets have a clear lead over the others?
Mini
14
Ṁ1.0k2025
1D
1W
1M
ALL
69%
Manifold
54%
Kalshi
44%
Polymarket
38%
Predictit
34%
Metaculus
17%
Futuur
17%
BrierFoxForecasts
4%
Augur
4%
SciCast
Resolved
N/AInsight Prediction
The main metric will be number of active users. May resolve to NA if there are no clear winners
Get Ṁ600 play money
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Welcome to Manifold! For clarity, can you edit the title to “Which prediction market site will have the most users by 2025?” Great question, btw.
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