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MANIFOLD
Which prediction markets will win? At the end of 2024, will any prediction markets have a clear lead over the others?
18
Ṁ1kṀ1.3k
resolved Jan 2
Resolved
YES
Polymarket
Resolved
N/A
Insight Prediction
Resolved
NO
Manifold
Resolved
NO
Predictit
Resolved
NO
Futuur
Resolved
NO
SciCast
Resolved
NO
Augur
Resolved
NO
Metaculus
Resolved
NO
Insight Prediction https://insightprediction.com/
Resolved
NO
Kalshi
Resolved
NO
BrierFoxForecasts
Resolved
NO
Interactive Brokers

The main metric will be number of active users. May resolve to NA if there are no clear winners

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Interactive Brokers ... though they seem to have over a million customers, their prediction market volume seems pretty slim.

bought Ṁ25 NO

Given that insight prediction evidently hasn't been updated and when you click on links on that page it goes to a bunch of 404 errors, that platform is likely toast.

Do not use this

Welcome to Manifold! For clarity, can you edit the title to “Which prediction market site will have the most users by 2025?” Great question, btw.

@oh thanks, can you remove the duplicate answer (insight Prediction) for me please?

@GordanKnott I’m not a moderator so I can’t resolve anything . You can resolve it as N/A

@oh I don't want to kill the question, just one answer

@GordanKnott You’re able to early resolve only one answer as NA

@oh that worked - thank you

How do I sell my shares in Insight Prediction? I don't actually believe in that platform but wanted to add it for completeness sake.

@PatrickDelaney I don't know 😞 I think I broke it

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