Which prediction markets will win? At the end of 2024, will any prediction markets have a clear lead over the others?
12
134
1k
2025
69%
Manifold
54%
Kalshi
38%
Predictit
34%
Metaculus
34%
Polymarket
17%
Futuur
7%
BrierFoxForecasts
7%
4%
Augur
4%
SciCast
Resolved
N/A
Insight Prediction

The main metric will be number of active users. May resolve to NA if there are no clear winners

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Insight Prediction

Do not use this

Welcome to Manifold! For clarity, can you edit the title to “Which prediction market site will have the most users by 2025?” Great question, btw.

@oh thanks, can you remove the duplicate answer (insight Prediction) for me please?

@GordanKnott I’m not a moderator so I can’t resolve anything . You can resolve it as N/A

@oh I don't want to kill the question, just one answer

@GordanKnott You’re able to early resolve only one answer as NA

@oh that worked - thank you

bought Ṁ25 of Manifold YES

How do I sell my shares in Insight Prediction? I don't actually believe in that platform but wanted to add it for completeness sake.

bought Ṁ5 of Insight Prediction h... YES

@PatrickDelaney I don't know 😞 I think I broke it