Which prediction markets will win? At the end of 2024, will any prediction markets have a clear lead over the others?

Basic

Ṁ1284

Jan 1

66%

Polymarket

51%

Kalshi

34%

Metaculus

28%

Predictit

21%

Manifold

17%

Interactive Brokers

15%

Futuur

14%

BrierFoxForecasts

Augur

SciCast

Insight Prediction https://insightprediction.com/

Resolved

N/A

Insight Prediction

The main metric will be number of active users. May resolve to NA if there are no clear winners

This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.

#Predictions on Predictions

#Meta-Forecasting

#Prediction Markets General Discussion

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Interactive Brokers ... though they seem to have over a million customers, their prediction market volume seems pretty slim.

bought Ṁ25 Insight Prediction h... NO

Given that insight prediction evidently hasn't been updated and when you click on links on that page it goes to a bunch of 404 errors, that platform is likely toast.

Insight Prediction

Do not use this

Welcome to Manifold! For clarity, can you edit the title to “Which prediction market site will have the most users by 2025?” Great question, btw.

@oh thanks, can you remove the duplicate answer (insight Prediction) for me please?

@GordanKnott I’m not a moderator so I can’t resolve anything . You can resolve it as N/A

@oh I don't want to kill the question, just one answer

@GordanKnott You’re able to early resolve only one answer as NA

@oh that worked - thank you

How do I sell my shares in Insight Prediction? I don't actually believe in that platform but wanted to add it for completeness sake.

@PatrickDelaney I don't know 😞 I think I broke it

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