Highest volume prediction market for 2028 US prez election?
46
28kṀ44k2028
52%
Polymarket
27%
Kalshi
10%
IB / ForecastEx
7%
1.5%
DraftKings or FanDuel
Only trading volume on the final US 2028 presidential election results will count (e.g. Trump v Harris, ie no primary races).
Any real-money prediction market or betting platform globally counts.
I will exclude obvious wash trading insofar as I'm able to spot it (not an important factor in the 2024 election, but it might be in the future if these platforms continue to operate without fees).
I may add more answers to this market if new serious competitors emerge.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
People are also trading
Related questions
Which one is the most enjoyable prediction market? (2025)
Which one is the most enjoyable prediction market? (2026)
Will the CFTC permit real-money prediction markets on the 2028 US Presidential Election?
82% chance
Will real money political prediction markets be legal before 2029 conditional on who wins the presidential election?
Will prediction markets become mainstream by 2028?
64% chance
When will the USA legalise prediction markets for elections?
Will Charles Schwab customers have access to a prediction market on the 2028 US presidential election?
58% chance
If Trump wins in 2024, will real money political prediction markets be legal before 2029?
66% chance
Which prediction markets and forecasting platforms will still be opening new markets/questions through 2028?
Will prediction markets become popular and used by 80% of the countries of the world by 2027?
9% chance