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#	Name	Total profit
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2		Ṁ22
3		Ṁ20
4		Ṁ16
5		Ṁ15

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Sam Bankman-Fried and Andrew Tate have one thing in common: both boasted of breaking the law. In SBF's case, he literally spoke openly about using fronting to donate anonymously to Republicans. He is now accused of illegal donations involving exactly that.

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Will SBF spend at least three years in prison?

92% chance

Will SBF spend at least a decade in prison?

75% chance

Will SBF spend at least five years in prison?

89% chance

Will SBF be vindicated?

5% chance

Will SBF spend at least one year in jail?

97% chance

Will SBF die in prison?

30% chance

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