Will SBF spend at least one year in jail?

56%

chance

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Manifold DreamBot

Gigacasting

bought Ṁ50 NO from 64% to 56% Mason

bought Ṁ5 NO from 65% to 64% AccelerationBot

filled limit order Ṁ5/Ṁ50 YES at 65% (cancelled) Katja Grace

bought Ṁ100 YES from 57% to 64% AccelerationBot

filled limit order Ṁ3/Ṁ7 NO at 57% (cancelled) Ophelia

bought Ṁ75 YES from 51% to 58% Bob

bought Ṁ10 YES from 49% to 51% Michael's Bot LaboratoryBot

filled limit order Ṁ12/Ṁ100 NO at 49% (cancelled) AccelerationBot

filled limit order Ṁ18/Ṁ100 NO at 51% (cancelled) Andrew Hyer

bought Ṁ55 YES from 46% to 54% Gigacasting

sold Ṁ12 NO from 44% to 46% Gigacasting

bought Ṁ20 NO from 47% to 44% ArchLinus

bought Ṁ10 NO from 48% to 47% Gigacasting

bought Ṁ5 NO from 49% to 48% AccelerationBot

filled limit order Ṁ7/Ṁ100 NO at 49% (cancelled) Dean Valentine

bought Ṁ30 YES from 45% to 50% Finn

filled limit order Ṁ20/Ṁ20 NO at 60% Finn

filled limit order Ṁ20/Ṁ20 NO at 55% Finn

created limit order for Ṁ20 NO at 50% (cancelled) AccelerationBot

filled limit order Ṁ5/Ṁ100 YES at 45% (cancelled) Finn

sold Ṁ37 YES from 51% to 44% Gigacasting

sold Ṁ4 NO from 50% to 51% AccelerationBot

filled limit order Ṁ3/Ṁ3 NO at 50% Finn

bought Ṁ50 YES from 41% to 50% Wendel

bought Ṁ10 NO from 43% to 41% AccelerationBot

filled limit order Ṁ23/Ṁ100 YES at 43% (cancelled) Dean Valentine

sold Ṁ92 YES from 56% to 38% AccelerationBot

filled limit order Ṁ18/Ṁ100 NO at 56% (cancelled) Dean Valentine

bought Ṁ100 YES from 41% to 60% Devansh

bought Ṁ10 NO from 43% to 41% Devansh

bought Ṁ10 NO from 45% to 43% AccelerationBot

filled limit order Ṁ3/Ṁ6 YES at 45% (cancelled) Devansh

bought Ṁ10 NO from 46% to 44% Devansh

bought Ṁ10 NO from 48% to 46% Devansh

bought Ṁ10 NO from 50% to 48% Devansh

bought Ṁ10 NO from 52% to 50% Devansh

bought Ṁ10 NO at 52% AccelerationBot

filled limit order Ṁ37/Ṁ100 YES at 52% (cancelled) Devansh

bought Ṁ10 NO from 48% to 47% Devansh

bought Ṁ10 NO from 51% to 48% Devansh

bought Ṁ10 NO from 53% to 51% Devansh

bought Ṁ10 NO from 55% to 53% Gigacasting

bought Ṁ10 NO from 57% to 55% Writer

bought Ṁ10 NO from 60% to 57% AccelerationBot

filled limit order Ṁ7/Ṁ100 NO at 60% (cancelled) sophia wisdom

bought Ṁ50 YES from 52% to 62% Aaron Kaufman

bought Ṁ10 YES from 49% to 52% GeorgeVii

sold Ṁ10 YES from 52% to 49% AccelerationBot

filled limit order Ṁ5/Ṁ100 YES at 52% (cancelled) george

bought Ṁ20 NO from 57% to 50% YES shares

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NO shares

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207

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43

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14