Will SBF die in prison?
23
82
1k
2039
16%
chance

Includes in custody, at any point from now until the conclusion of serving his presumably sentence, by any means.

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predicts NO

@litarea I think you are forgetting something ..

predicts NO

@litarea This should be reopened.

predicts NO

Resolved NO

predicts YES

@SoaringMoon ????????

predicts NO

@DeanValentine Question was set to close on the 19th. Pretty sure it has to resolve within 10 days of question close. Regardless of what it says in the statement.

predicts NO

@SoaringMoon Huh? The description makes it clear that this market is about their entire sentence; I assume the close date was an error.

@SoaringMoon nope, it doesn't! I've had questions sit closed but unresolved for months.

bought Ṁ200 of NO

free on bail -> less likely to die in prison soon

https://www.cnbc.com/2022/12/22/ftx-founder-sam-bankman-fried-to-be-released-on-250-million-bail.html