
Will a nuclear weapon be detonated by October 1?
35
670Ṁ6875resolved Oct 4
Resolved
NO1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
including tests
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
🏅 Top traders
# | Name | Total profit |
---|---|---|
1 | Ṁ37 | |
2 | Ṁ34 | |
3 | Ṁ33 | |
4 | Ṁ30 | |
5 | Ṁ26 |
People are also trading
Will any nuclear weapon be detonated in 2025?
14% chance
Will a nuclear weapon be detonated in 2025?
16% chance
Will a nuclear weapon be detonated in combat before January 1, 2030?
15% chance
Will any nuclear weapon be detonated in 2028?
15% chance
Will any nuclear weapon be detonated in 2029?
23% chance
Will any nuclear weapon be detonated in 2027?
22% chance
Will a nuclear weapon be detonated in the year 2030?
19% chance
Will any nuclear weapon be detonated in 2026?
13% chance
Will a nuclear weapon be detonated as part of the middle-east conflict before 2028?
13% chance
Sort by:
If you know anything about history you know that no country is going to do it, because of how shit it would be for the environment and publicity and it could cause everyone to fire nuclear weapons at each other
@Breadbrowser Recent history proves that this is not the case for North Korea regarding tests. They have not tested in recent years because of the collapse of their primary testing facility, but there are signs that they are nearly ready to resume testing (and they have stated as much).
Too bad I guess
People are also trading
Related questions
Will any nuclear weapon be detonated in 2025?
14% chance
Will a nuclear weapon be detonated in 2025?
16% chance
Will a nuclear weapon be detonated in combat before January 1, 2030?
15% chance
Will any nuclear weapon be detonated in 2028?
15% chance
Will any nuclear weapon be detonated in 2029?
23% chance
Will any nuclear weapon be detonated in 2027?
22% chance
Will a nuclear weapon be detonated in the year 2030?
19% chance
Will any nuclear weapon be detonated in 2026?
13% chance
Will a nuclear weapon be detonated as part of the middle-east conflict before 2028?
13% chance