[M5000 subsidy] Will finetuned GPT-3.5 solve any freshly-generated Sudoku puzzle? (2023)
Will Google Bard become better than GPT-4 at any point before September 2024?
Will mechanistic interpretability be essentially solved for GPT-2 before 2030?
Will there be a version of GPT4 with a context window of 100k tokens this year?
Will GPT-4 be trained on more than 10T text tokens?
Will we train GPT-4 to generate resolution criteria better than the creator 50% of the time by the end of 2023?
Will a GPT-3 quality model be trained for under $10.000 by 2030?
Will mechanistic interpretability be essentially solved for GPT-3 before 2030?
Will Google's Gemini outperform GPT-4 in the SuperGLUE benchmark test by December 2023?
Will any Google model exceed chatGPT interest? (by 2025)
Will a model be trained using at least as much compute as GPT-3 using AMD GPUs before Jan 1 2026?
2) We are going to start running out of data to train large language models.
Matt C. Wilson
Will GPT-5 be released incrementally as GPT4.x for different checkpoints from the training run?
Will there be a OpenAI LLM known as GPT-4.5? by 2033
There will be an open source LLM approximately as good or better than GPT4 before 2025
Will inflection AI have a model that is 10X the size of original GPT-4 at the end of Q1, 2025?
Will an open-source LLM beat or match GPT-4 by the end of 2024?
Will Gary Marcus tweet at least 10 examples of GPT-4 failure which won't be disproven/fixed within 24 hours? (in 2023)
Will GPT, or AI systems that have GPT as their main component, become as reliably factual as Wikipedia, before 2026?
Will any open-source model achieve GPT-4 level performance on MMLU through 2024?