Will an open source model beat GPT-4 in 2024?

Will a GPT-4 quality model be trained for under $10.000 by 2030?

Will it cost $30 to train a GPT-3 level model in 2030?

Will it be possible to disentangle most of the features learned by a model comparable to GPT-3 this decade? (1k subsidy)

Will there be an LLM (as good as GPT-4) that was trained with 1/100th the energy consumed to train GPT-4, by 2026?

Will a GPT-3 quality model be trained for under $1,000 by 2030?

Will it cost less than 100k USD to train and run a language model that outperforms GPT-3 175B on all benchmarks by the end 2024?

Will $10,000 worth of AI hardware be able to train a GPT-3 equivalent model in under 1 hour, by EOY 2027?

Will a GPT-4 level system be trained for <$1mm by 2030?

Will a model costing >$30M be intentionally trained to be more mechanistically interpretable by end of 2027? (see desc)