Will it cost $30 to train a GPT-3 level model in 2030?
12
505
290
2031
14%
chance

If Ark's prediction proves correct, this market resolves to YES. I'll leave the definitions open, relying in experts (I hope my GF is a PhD in ML by then), but both press releases and opinion of experts, including the specialized press, will count to this market.

I won't bet.

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